1979-1995 Second Cold War, 1980-1991 End of the Cold War

  • 1981-1989: Reagan’s 2 consecutive terms in office as POTUS
  • succeeds Jimmy Carter (Dem.) as president, and his two-pronged foreign policy
    • before 1979 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan: Cyrus Vance was Secretary of State – more accommodating to Soviets
    • 1979 onwards: Brzezinski was National Secretary of Defense – hardline
  • takes a hardline stance on foreign policy + determined to pursue aggressive policies to change Soviet behavior
  • saw dĂ©tente as a failure that had eroded American prestige and made them look weak → resulted in ‘misplaced trust’, ↓ power, prestige and influence
    • blamed Carter for loss of global power
  • returned USA to containment and confrontation – a more Truman-Eisenhower-approach
  • returned USA to negotiating from a position of strength with USSR

Triumphalist sequence of events

Triumphalism

Triumphalist position: that Reagan’s role was key to containing the Soviets and put pressure on them

  • aka: One Great Man theory
  1. strong rhetorical language against USSR; Reagan’s hardline approach
    • referred to the USSR as the ‘evil empire’ – strong rhetorical language against the USSR → Soviet moral bankruptcy of communism
      • or: the USA cancelled the USSR and strengthened the hand of democracy
    • upped the ante for both countries
  2. U.S. uses scientific and technological strength & advantage to pressure Russians (e.g. SDI)
    • showed U.S. advantage to acquire first strike advantage → frightened the Soviets, because they had no solution to counteract
  3. dramatic increase in military budget (lots of $$$)
    • the Soviets weren’t in a position to compete with the vast American budget → had to look for more conciliatory ways (aka dĂ©tente, compromise and giving in)
      • giving in → America ‘winning’, putting pressure on the USSR
      • exposed Soviet economic weakness – states like Ethiopia were bleeding the USSR dry
      • marked a switch to diplomacy rather than military conflict
  4. all this combines to form the final nail in the Soviet coffin
  5. the Cold War ends and USSR collapses
 all because of Reagan
    • ??? this is such a Man way of thinking

Ideological offensive

  • new rhetoric: “The Soviet Union is the focus of all evil in the world)

Political offensive

  • 1981-1982: Response to Poland situation
    • 1981 Dec: martial law imposed by Poland to stem growth of Solidarity trade union → arrest of Solidarity leadership
    • 1982 Oct: outlawing of Solidartiy leadership
    • U.S. imposed economic & trade sanctions on Poland & USSR ^a14c51
      • SIGNIFICANCE: reaffirmed importance of free market, human rights & gave the West the moral high ground (?)
  • 1983: Reagan Doctrine
    • Roll-Back
    • resistance to Soviet expansionism wasn’t enough; the West had to go on the offensive with a “forward strategy to freedom”
    • assistance rendered to anti-Communist insurgents & govts
      • 1979-1989 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan; Aided mujahideen rebels in Afghanistan
        • 1986: new lightweight ground-to-air missiles supplied → diminished Soviet air superiority
        • allowed guerillas the benefit of US satellite & communications information
    • reassertion of American power in Central America (Grenada, Nicaragua)
    • renewal of strategic cooperation with China ([[1949-1976 Communist China’s Foreign Policy and Affairs#1970-1989-triangular-diplomacyyitianxian-äž€æĄçșż-one-united-front|1970-1989 Triangular Diplomacy/yitianxian (äž€æĄçșż), one united front]])

Economic offensive

  • blocked various exports to USSR, including vital grain deliveries
Link to original
Transclude of #^a14c51

Military offensive (Militarism and arms control)

Summary

  • focus on restoring American military power
  • move from defensive to offensive
  • AIM: argued massive defence build-up would pressure Soviets to keep up → deplete them of resources
  • 1982: increased military expenditure by 13%, then 8% every year after (known as 'window of vulnerability')
  • 1982-1989: 📈 increased military budget from $134b/year to $253b
    • largest peacetime budget
    • 7% of GDP in 1989
  • 5-year program of $180b to modernise strategic nuclear forces
  • CIA’s budget increased even omre
  • refusal to ratify SALT II and negotiate
  • opposition to Soviet action in Afghanistan, Poland

INF Talks

  • INF: Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces
  • Reagan proposed the ‘zero option’, heavily loaded against the USSR
  • proposals would have:
    1. significantly increased U.S. strike capacity
    2. essentially removing Soviet nuclear power
  • the talks were a set-up; the USSR would never accept those terms
  • 1989: severely compromised and handicapped treaty signed

START

  • START: Strategic Arms Reduction Talks
  • U.S. wanted to deploy missiles in Europe → USSR abandoned the talks
    • increased tensions → geographic proximity to the Soviet capitals, a security threat
    • the Europeans weren’t happy with this – they wanted to reduce tensions with USSR and East Germany
      • obviously the U.S. won’t accept this
  • for the first time in a decade, the USSR and USA weren’t negotiating
  • USSR hoped the West could pressure the USA into adopting a more realistic approach to Soviet-American reactions
  • Reagan blamed the USSR for abandoning talks

SDI

  • SDI: Strategic Defense Initiative (“Star Wars program”)
    • $26b five-year project
    • a system of defense against WMDs → aimed to make first strike impossible
  • 1983 Mar: Announced a way to repel missiles launched by UISSR – would’ve made offensive nukes redundant
  • 1983 Nov: NATO deployed Pershing II and Cruise missiles – a new generation of nukes that were faster, harder to detect, and very difficult to counter
  • moved from deterrence by assured defense to by assured retaliation
  • aimed to replace Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) with Mutually Assured Survival (MAS)
    • which was a farce because everyone is going to die once you launch 💀
    • “we cherish life and yet we design weapons that will take away life in new, innovative lives” –Mr. Han, 2025
  • went against anti-ballistic missiles (ABM) treaty agreements signed earlier on
  • realistically flawed, could never work – but freaked the Soviets out so badly
    • USSR saw it as a U.S. plan to eradicate the Soviet advantage + develop American first-strike capability
Soviet perceptionU.S. perception
sent shockwaves through the Politburo; they didn’t realize it was fully theoretical and unlikely to work
  • Americans trying to gain an upper hand in military conflict
  • erode balance and ‘get one up’ on the Soviets
  • neutralizes the equilibrium developed over dĂ©tente
big money involved with many vested interests
  • lots of unfufiled promises and hype