1921-1991 🇷🇺 Communist Russia, 1980-1991 End of the Cold War
Summary
- General Secretary of CPSU
- relatively youthful, intelligent, flexible, dynamic
- Leninist; sought to reform the system for it to survive
- aimed to modernise USSR
- realized that Soviet survival depended on ending CW & reforming Soviet economy
- “We can’t go on living like this”
Context: Issues facing Russia (mid-1980s)
Important
Gorby inherited a broken USSR; he was very incentivised to end the Cold War to ensure USSR survival & focus on domestic issues.
Economic
- 📉 economic growths declining since late 1950s → increasing gross national product gap between USSRS and US
- GNP: total value of all finished goods and services produced by a country’s citizens + output generated by country's businesses, domestically and abroad
- 📈 40% of state budget going towards armed forces
- Soviet society lagging behind in development of new technology (esp. computing)
- ❌ “All my friends are falling in love, and I’m falling behind”
✅ “All my friends are developing tech, and I’m falling behind”
- ❌ “All my friends are falling in love, and I’m falling behind”
- 📉 Oil revenues decreasing – reverse oil shock, $35 to $16 per barrel
Social
- 📉 ↑ infant mortality, ↓ birth rate
- 📉 ↓ male life expectancy
- 1960s: 66 years → 1986: 60 years
Political
- tense situation in Poland; challenge from Solidarity
- China still challenging USSR as leader of the socialists
- [[1949-1976 Communist China’s Foreign Policy and Affairs#1970-1989-triangular-diplomacyyitianxian-一条线-one-united-front|1970-1989 Triangular Diplomacy/yitianxian (一条线), one united front]]
- Soviet commuism denounced by 'Euro-Communists' in Western Europe
Military
- 1979-1989 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan was a 'bleeding wound' + discredited USSR in Middle East & Third World
- Brezhnev’s Developing World ambitions faced setbacks (Egypt, Iran, Africa) + $40b cost of supporting Cuba, VIetnam, Ethiopia, Aghanistan
- Gorby inherited these problems
- Reagan’s 'systematic challenge' of the 'evil empire' & SDI worried leaders in Kremlin
Improvements (Impact)
Political: New Political Thinking
New Political Thinking
1921-1991 🇷🇺 Communist Russia, 1980-1991 End of the Cold War
Summary
Soviet policy implemented by 👤 Mikhail Gorbachev, emphasising:
- independence
- mutual security
- unity of mankind
- irrationality of nuclear war
It de-escalated the Cold War, at least from an ideological perspective.
Link to original
Traditional Soviet thinking New Political Thinking Diplomacy Emphasis on ideology & class struggle No more ideology or class struggle Confrontation Triumph of communism over capitalist West Seen as counterproductive RESULT: Emphasis on cooperation instead Arms race Sought to match or surpass the West’s technological & military advances Strongly repudiated nuclear war; arms race was pointless RESULT: Arms reduction & 'reasonable sufficiency' Military Military power first! Political accommodation → solve problems & achieve real security
Economic: Perestroika
Perestroika
Quote
“The goal of perestroika is to make the Soviet Union richer, stronger, better; raise it to a qualitatively new level.”
–Mikhail Gorbachev, 📘 Perestroika (1987)Historiography: Jonathan Haslam
Gorbachev fundamentally "sought to improve the Soviet Union, not destroy it.”
–Jonathan HaslamLink to original
- Perestroika: ‘restructuring’ the economy instead of dismantling it
- planning was decentralized → certain degree of self-planning allowed in businesses
- managers were allowed to implement changes without waiting for state approval or permission from GOSPLAN
- basically ‘shock therapy’ á la ga ge kai fang for China; the Soviet economy didn’t know how to cope
- managers didn’t know how to make businesses profitable or adapt to market needs without GOSPLAN breathing down their necks
- state price controls ended → standards of living ↓ but foreign investment was now possible
- resulted in uncertainty over employment and economy
- alcoholism was a Big Problem… banning alcohol → loss of state revenue
- people absent because of drinking, people showing up to work drunk, etc.
- nothing on shelves to buy – sugar, wheat, bread (basics) are in short supply → people were still queuing for state handouts
- high inflation due to all these changes
- any economic gains caused by Perestroika were cancelled out by the rise of cost of living
Political/Military: Developing World
Summary
- Gorbachev Doctrine – disengaging from involvement in the developing world in order to avoid confrontation with the USA
- U.S. sponsored peaceful settlement of conflicts in DW → security via cooperation → improved relations
- tying up loose ends in terms of proxy wars fought
- Apr 1986: Pakistan & Afghanistan sign agreements sponsored by USSR & U.S.
- Cambodia
- Gorbachev ready to collaborate with U.S. and China to solve the Cambodian problem
- 1989: Gorby pressured Vietnam to remove troops before Beijing visit
- peace wasn’t immediate
- 1991: Ceasefire negotiated by UN Security Council, with active American & Soviet assistance
- Nicaragua
- 1981: Sandinista leaders succeed in persuading Soviets to send military equipment to Nicaragua
- 1988: Both superpowers support Central American plan to end foreign assistance to all fighting groups + call for free elections to remove civil war
- Angola & Namibia
- superpowers pressured Cuba, Angola, S. Africa to agree to ceasefire & withdrawal of Cuban troops
- 1988 Dec: S. Africa agreed to implement UN. Res 435 → Namibia independence
- Ethiopia – IRRELEVANT FOR END OF CW, Soviets neglected it in final years
- Gorbachev sent financial aid to Mengistu’s regime until 1989
Political: China
- 1978: Deng Xiaoping takes over
- 1989 May: Beijing summit meeting between Deng & Gorbachev → relations fully restored
- Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan + Vietnamese troops from Cambodia
- Reduction of Soviet troops along Sino-Soviet border (120000 troops along border reduced PRC's fear of attacks)
Political: Eastern Europe (ending expansionism)
- most regimes in the Soviet bloc were more or less stable
- Soviet security in Eastern Europe to safeguard through political cooperation & negotiation rather than force
- 1985 Mar: Abandonment of Brezhnev Doctrine (mandated military intervention by Warsaw Pact/USSR to prop up communist regimes where socialism was under threat)
- Soviet troops would not be sent into any E. European state
- 1985 Apr: reiterated this at Warsaw Pact meeting
Transclude of 1980-1991-End-of-the-Cold-War#^816907
- encouraged Perestroika, Glasnost & Demokratizasiya in satellite states
- similar to ideas developed by Hungarian & Czech reform communists in 1950s-1970s
- E. Europe saw mass movements calling for economic reforms + demanded greater democracy & various versions of 1968 Prague Spring
- Prague Spring 1968: period of political liberalization and mass protest in the Czechoslovak Socialist Republic
- Gorby declared ideology should play a smaller part in foreign affairs → New Political Thinking
Military: Arms Control
- determined to negotiate major reductions in nuclear weapons
- put his money where his mouth is to signify goodwill to West
- 1985 Apr: Froze further deployments of SS-20s in Eastern Europe
- 1985 Aug: Declared temporary halt to Soviet underground nuclear testing
- 1985 Sept: Proposed that superpowers ==reduce all strategic nuclear weapon stocks by 50%==
- 1985 Oct: Announced plans for reduction of Soviet missiles in Eastern Europe
- by 1988: 4 US-Soviet summits on arms control
- Take note of summits
Dump
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copy from handout 12 slides
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McDonalds → represented import of capitalism and consumerism to the USSR
Social: Glasnost
- the USSR thrived on control of information → loosening of censorship → a lot of things were dug up and reported
- finish